Oil prices were up nearly a dollar in Asian trade on Thursday after the U.S. President announced a blockade on tankers entering and leaving Venezuela.
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Oil prices edged marginally higher on Thursday as investors assessed the likelihood of further U.S. sanctions against Russia and the supply risks posed by a blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers.
Brent crude rose 14 cents, or 0.23%, to close at $59.82 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 21 cents, or 0.38%, to settle at $56.15 per barrel.
“Crude futures are trying to find support from the Venezuelan oil export blockade, which if it continues will likely cause production in the area to be shut in with no destinations to ship out to,” said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
On Wednesday, Bloomberg reported that the U.S. is preparing another round of sanctions on Russia’s energy sector in the event Moscow does not agree to a peace deal with Ukraine, citing people familiar with the matter. A White House official told Reuters President Donald Trump had not made any decisions on Russian sanctions.
“If no Russia/Ukraine peace deal is reached, the attacks on Russia could escalate, quickly tightening supplies, and if you add in the blockade on Venezuelan oil, crude prices may very well be a bit underpriced here,” Kissler said.
Further measures targeting Russian oil could pose a greater supply risk to the market than Trump’s announcement on Tuesday that the U.S. would blockade tankers under sanctions entering and leaving Venezuela, ING analysts said in a note.
Britain imposed sanctions on 24 individuals and entities as part of its Russia sanctions regime, including on Russian oil companies Tatneft, a government notice showed on Thursday.
The Venezuela blockade could affect 600,000 barrels per day of Venezuelan oil exports, mostly to China, but 160,000 bpd of exports to the U.S. would likely continue, ING said. Chevron vessels were continuing to depart for the U.S. under a previous authorisation from the U.S. government.
It was not clear how a U.S. blockade would be enforced. The U.S. Coast Guard last week took the unprecedented step of seizing a Venezuelan oil tanker and sources said the U.S. was preparing for more such interdictions.
Venezuelan crude makes up around 1% of global supplies.
Analysts at Bank of America anticipate the lower price of oil will reduce the amount of supply. If WTI prices average $57 a barrel in 2026, in line with their projection, U.S. shale oil production could contract by 70,000 bpd.
